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  3. Phillips Curve
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  5. Scenario

Macro Foundations · advanced

Labor market reform cuts the NAIRU

What moves on the Phillips Curve diagram

  • LRPCshifts left (small)

The NAIRUNAIRUThe unemployment rate at which inflation neither accelerates nor decelerates, the economy's sustainable floor. is set by structural forces; reforms shift the LRPC itself, relaxing the long-run constraint.

Watch it animateQuiz yourself on Phillips Curve

Step by step

  1. 1

    The vertical LRPC marks the economy's sustainable unemployment floor.

  2. 2

    Better job-matching and training shift the natural ratenatural rateThe unemployment level set by structural forces (matching, turnover, institutions) rather than the business cycle. left.

  3. 3

    The economy can now run hotter without accelerating inflationinflationA sustained rise in the overall price level, eroding money's purchasing power., structural reform moved what monetary policymonetary policyCentral-bank control of interest rates or the money supply to steer inflation and output. never could.

Where this shows up

Examiners ask this as: nairu falls, structural reform unemployment, matching improves.

Other scenarios on Phillips Curve

Inflation expectations de-anchor →Oil shock drags the whole tradeoff upward →Central bank credibility pulls expectations down →Better job matching lowers the natural rate →Long-term unemployment scars the workforce →Wage-price spiral un-anchors expectations →